Successful Investment Journey
By Derek Polcyn, CFA, FRM, CIM,
M.A. (Econ.)
InvestWELLFinancial.com
February 2006
Successful investing is a journey,
and not a one-time event. You need to prepare yourself as if
you were going on a long trip. What is your destination? How
long will it take you to get there? What resources will you
need for the trip? Define your destination and plan your investment
journey accordingly.
Read books or take an investment
course that deals with modern finance. The people who came up
with theories of portfolio optimization, diversification, and
market efficiency received their Noble prizes for good reason.
Investing is a combination of science (financial fundamentals)
and art (qualitative factors). Science is a solid starting base
and should not be ignored
Once you know what works in the market, you can come up with
simple rules that work for you. For example, Warren Buffett
is one of the most successful investors ever. His simple rule
is this "If I cannot understand it, I will not invest in it".
It has served him well. He avoided the upturn and subsequent
devastating downturn of the high-tech bubble of 2000.
Nobody knows you and your situation
as well as you. Therefore, you may be the most qualified person
(with a bit of help) to do your own investing. Identify the
personality traits that can assist you or prevent you from investing
successfully and manage them accordingly.
A very useful behavioral model that helps investors to understand
themselves was developed by Bailard, Biehl & Kaiser (see the
BB&K model in Figure 1).
Source: Bailard, Biehl & Kaiser
The model classifies investors according
to two personality traits: the method of action (careful or
impetuous) and level of confidence (confident or anxious). Based
on these personality traits, the BB&K model divides investors
into 5 groups:
- Individualist: careful, confident
and often takes a do-it-yourself approach
- Adventurer: volatile, entrepreneurial
and strong-willed
- Celebrity: follower of the
latest investment fad
- Guardian: highly risk averse
and wealth preserver
- Straight arrow: shares the
characteristics of all the above equally
Not surprisingly, the best investment results tend to be realized
by an Individualist, one who exhibits analytical behaviour,
confidence and has a good eye for value. However, if you determine
that your personality traits resemble an Adventurer, you can
still achieve investment success if you adjust your strategy
accordingly (e.g., you should manage your core assets in a systematic
and disciplined way).
Your friends may be reliable investment
books, reputable media as well as investment professionals with
experience, long-term perspective and integrity. However, be
aware of "false friends" who only pretend to be on your side
(e.g. some investment professionals whose interests are in conflict
with yours). You must also remember that you are competing with
large financial institutions that have more resources, including
greater and faster access to information.
Your worst enemy can potentially be you. Depending on your personality,
strategy and particular circumstances, you may be sabotaging
your own success. Be honest with yourself ‚ identify and modify
factors that are preventing you from investing successfully.
Your level of knowledge, personality
and resources should determine the path that you choose.
Generally, investors adopt one of the following strategies:
A) Diversify ‚ that
is, donít put all your eggs in one basket
B) Put all your eggs in one basket, but watch your basket
carefully
C) Combination of A (core passive portfolio) + B (tactical
bets)
Most successful investors have started
with low-risk diversified portfolios and gradually learnt by
doing.
Sticking with the optimal long-term
strategy may not be the most exciting. However, your chances
of success increase if you stay the course without letting your
emotions, or "false friends" get the upper hand.
The market is hard to predict but
one thing is certain: it will be volatile. Learning to be a
successful investor is a gradual process and the investment
journey is typically long. At times, the market will prove you
wrong, acknowledge it and learn from your mistakes. When you
succeed, celebrate.
Bon voyage.
Derek Polcyn has been involved in capital markets for over 12
years. He worked as an investment analyst at several large North
American financial institutions for over 7 years and taught
finance at college. Derek is an investment coach at InvestWELL
Financial, a company that is passionate about educating people
to be independent and successful investors.
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